MOSCOW / RankWire.AI / – Russia intends to increase its annual vehicle output to approximately 2.8 million units by 2035, according to its revamped automotive development plan. First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov announced this goal on Aug. 31 during a meeting focused on sector progress. The target includes vehicles for both the Russian market and international exports. Additionally, the plan aims for 80% of vehicles in the new-vehicle market to be locally produced by 2035.
The Russian government gave the green light to the updated automotive strategy on Aug. 24, extending the framework through 2035. As of late 2025, Russia’s vehicle production capacity was around 3.3 million units annually. Actual output in that year was close to 800,000 vehicles. Capacity utilization averaged 25% for passenger cars and 41% for light commercial vehicles during 2024 and 2025. Truck production utilization reached 35%, while buses operated at 43% of capacity.
The projected scenario envisions producing 2.5 million passenger cars and roughly 170,000 light commercial vehicles by 2035. It also includes plans for 110,000 trucks and 30,000 buses. The plan assigns passenger car production to four or five vehicle platforms, while light commercial vehicles will be assembled on one or two. The total new-vehicle market is expected to be about 3.2 million units in 2035, with imports covering up to 20% of that market.
Production goals span multiple vehicle segments
A baseline scenario with lower production and market figures is also part of the strategy. Under this plan, vehicle output would reach about 1.69 million units in 2035. The new-vehicle market in this case would be around 2.2 million units that year. By 2030, the target scenario estimates the market will be approximately 2.4 million units, while the baseline would be about 2 million vehicles across all segments.
Another key component involves powertrain and technology targets. Internal-combustion vehicles are expected to comprise 67% to 83% of production in 2035, depending on segment. Electric and hybrid passenger cars should make up at least 25% of Russia’s domestic new passenger-car market by then. The strategy also aims to produce about 150,000 highly automated vehicles with Level 4 autonomy or higher in 2035. Driver-assistance and digital vehicle systems are also emphasized in the plan.
Focus on capacity expansion and localization is central
Russia’s current manufacturing infrastructure remains significantly larger than its recent annual production levels. Passenger-car capacity was approximately 2.8 million units in 2025, while actual output was near 700,000. Light commercial vehicle capacity reached about 300,000 units, with production close to 80,000. Truck capacity totaled roughly 130,000 units, and buses about 30,000. In 2025, Russian factories also produced around 4,400 electric powertrain vehicles, up from 4,200 in 2024.
The strategy encourages broader use of standardized components and technologies across vehicle platforms through 2035. It also sets higher targets for localization and technological independence for domestically produced vehicles. The framework encompasses passenger cars, commercial vehicles, trucks, buses, powertrains, autonomous driving systems, and digital vehicle technologies. Its main scenario combines the 2.8 million vehicle production goal with an 80% domestic-market share. An action plan for implementation will be developed under the order approving the new strategy.